Wednesday, 29 January 2014

Need of emotional maturity while Trading?

I have seen many traders whether playing on large spreads or short (intra-day) spreads, all have different characteristics and different strategies all the time.
But one thing that is common are most of them behaving in the same way when trade comes to profit or loss!
When people are free to do what they please, they will imitate each other (Eric Hoofer). The same thing can be applied to the trading industry.
Have you ever been to floor of broking or trading companies, if not then you must go there once, you will see a hell lot of people glued to big LCD’s where rates of different securities are turning red and green. No matter you identify the changing color or not, people faces will tell you how much green color they saw today. People clap on consecutive three or more greens and can be seen tensed on two reds.
Here the role of emotional maturity comes in to picture, if you are emotionally mature then it helps dealing with these kinds of situations. Don’t! Panic if you make loss or don’t give a self-pat when you make profit- this will help you to make better decisions to handle your trades. As this industry is based upon the decisions you make at the right time, better decision making will lead to better profits in future.
Don’t get addicted to what you get by gambling between the numbers of clicks!
People have general tendency that they get addicted to trading no matter it is the time of good opportunity or not, they just marry with the trade. The thought process behind this is simple the more I will trade-the more profit I will make. But this only leads to turning your savings into losses in trading.
Do not try to kiss all the girls!
I don’t mean the exact words, in fact I mean do not put all your fingers in different securities when you cannot handle all at the same time, this will only lead to erupted volcano of losses many times.
Be emotionally mature; enhance your decision making capabilities in weak times.

You will turn yourself into a successful trader and a better human being indeed!

Monday, 27 January 2014

Africa oil and gas scenario: A complete research on upcoming energy developments in Africa

The energy industry is the totality of all of the industries involved in the production and sale of energy, including fuel extraction, manufacturing, refining and distribution. In last two decades the Energy sector has seen some significant developments.
The first and foremost includes “Demand-Side Development”, the awakening of the two Asian giants – China and India. Both these economies have launched an energy-intensive rapid-growth paradigm, playing ‘catch-up’ in the unstoppable global development game. With their combined population accounting for more than one- third of the global population and their low per capita energy consumption base, these two economies will block an increasing share of the declining global energy sources, especially hydrocarbons.
The other major development in the energy industry, this time on the supply side, is the emergence of new hydrocarbon supply regions in Russia, Central Asia, Africa and Latin America. Of all these regions, Africa has indeed become the target of predatory acquisitions and unpleasant practices for international extractive enterprises engaged in the extraction of minerals, gold, diamonds, oil and timber. Many global giants such as Baker Hughes, BP, Chevron, Exxon-Mobil, Gazprom, Petrobras, Petrochina, Royal Dutch Shell, Schlumberger, Total etc. have already marked their presence in African market.
Africa is the world’s second-largest and second-most-populous continent. It is surrounded by the Mediterranean Sea to the north, both the Suez Canal and the Red Sea along the Sinai Peninsula to the north east, the Indian Ocean to the Southeast, and the Atlantic Ocean to the west.
Africa’s share of global oil and gas production has stood at 10% and 6% respectively over the past 24 months. 2012 has been marked with extensive activity by IOC’s and expectations that the unexplored acreages of African coasts would yield substantial resources. Africa also produced an estimated 230 billion cubic meters of natural gas in 2012, and this is likely to increase to around 250 bcm in 2013, with new supplies from Angola, Mozambique and Tanzania.



Future prospects of emerging oil and gas opportunities:
With huge resource base in Africa it can be forecast-ed that it will be a new center of attraction for investment in hydrocarbon sector in the world. As per “business monitor international and Reuters” there are several upcoming oil and gas projects in this region including  6 new refineries  planned in Algeria , 200,000 bpd refinery in Zaire by Angola. Moreover ,Congo plans to build a second refinery in the country .as far as major  investments are considered Egypt is all set to spend US $18 bn in this sector and in 2016 African richest man Alhaji Dangote is willing to invest US $8 bn in Nigerian refining sector. With increased production of gas in Mozambique, Tanzania their lies a huge investment potential for financial and hence infrastructural development.
 Among the countries with emerging oil and gas developments, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda, and Madagascar have shown great progress towards commercial development of newly discovered resources. Uganda and Madagascar are most likely to be the next oil producers in the continent. Mozambique will probably be the first country in East Africa to develop the capability to export liquefied natural gas (LNG), possibly followed by Tanzania.

Trading Advisers: Angels or Demons?

We see many people trading all day recklessly without any analysis. They are just checking their luck with every click when they enter into a new transaction.
There are another bunch of people who are shooting guns on the shoulders of advisers. These advisers are angels for their clients sometimes but the same advisers turn demons when they enter at the wrong time.
We enter into a transaction, when make loss we demand advice's of some high minds existing on this earth and believe they will turn our losses into profits with some magic band, but end up with amplified huge losses. Do we judge ourselves that was it a right time to call adviser or should have consulted him earlier?
It is well said that “Don’t waste your time beating on a wall, hoping to transform it into a door”, then why do we carry our losses for the long time when we are unable to bear them.
Brokers will provide you ten times of leverage in Indian market and five hundred times of leverage on foreign market but we forget while using that leverage we are also amplifying our forthcoming losses associated to it!
Averaging the loss is a trending concept in looser market, but do we really average our loss?
Traders with limited skills and knowledge enter into trade and act stubborn in reviewing their decision once made. They forget that they were dealing with the future, so whatever analysis they did they were bound to mistakes some times. As a trader your aim should be to decrease the number of wrong trades and increase the number of  profitable trades, but they make one decision and keep supporting it until all their money is evaporated from their accounts; Do we trade just to prove ourselves right? Or to make profit!
Though it sounds difficult to master on this discipline to be able to accept our own mistake but it is necessary too.
Remember discipline is famous in two things the most: ARMY and TRADING
If u miss this fact then dear reader welcome to the hall of fame of loser’s!!!