Monday, 3 February 2014

Road-map of combining different technical tools in trading:

Today, we are living in an age of internet. Knowledge from various sources is at our doorstep with few simple clicks. I believe mere availability of tremendous knowledge is not a need of time, we should select among them to reach our goal in short time as we say “Time is precious”.
There are lots of tools/indicators available today to carry out technical analysis on charts. Traders and researchers develop different type of tools day by day to lead in the quest. While approaching for new tools we forget the basic idea that by using those tools we just wanted to trace the psychology of markets.
We should choose among the available tools/indicators to come out with a sound result and low risk decision. We should follow a predefined methodology in deciding which tool to use at what time?
As per my experience and industry specific standards the process should involve following steps:-
Step 1- Define the basic trend of security
Step 2- Drawing trend lines with important support and resistance price levels for future reference.
Step 3- Incorporating short term, medium term and longer term moving averages on the price chart to help us get a better perspective of the price behavior.
Step 4- Determining price levels using the retracement theory.
Step 5- Adding indicators- to actually “tell” us what to do with the security, i.e. whether to buy or sell.

Playing in stock market is a game of probabilities; through analysis we tend to increase our probabilities of success. To arrive at the meaningful analysis we should combine different tools in a pipeline; one after another. Otherwise availability of different tools will only lead to confusion nothing less or more than that!